ANALISIS VARIABEL YANG MENENTUKAN PENGELUARAN PEMERINTAH DI INDONESIA PERIODE 1996 – 2006

March 3, 2009 at 7:24 am (Uncategorized)

Fani Riyana Irvandi, Aso Sukarso, Andi Rustandi

Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Siliwangi

ABSTRACT

This research aimed to know how about influence variable of government acceptance ratio with national earnings, variable of national earnings, and the government acceptance variable of previous period to variable of government expenditure in Indonesia during period 1996 – 2006, and to know the sensitivity level (elasticity) of government expenditure to variable of government acceptance ratio with national earnings, variable of national earnings, and the government acceptance variable of previous period in Indonesia during period 1996 – 2006.

Data used in this research was secondary data or yearly data along eleven years. Data were taken from Statistical of Economics and Finance Indonesia (SEFI) BI. Method of Research used was Multiple Regression Linear with analysis appliance: correlation analysis (R), coefficient analysis of determinant (R²), and elasticity analysis, while examination taken is test F, test t, and test autocorrelation by using calculation of EVIEWS program.

Based on this research to show that 99,39 % of government expenditure in Indonesia influenced by variable of government acceptance ratio with national earnings, variable of national earnings, and government acceptance variable of previous period while remainder about 0,61 % were influence by other factors out of this model.

The influence of variable of government acceptance ratio with national earnings and variable of national earnings partially is significant on government expenditure in Indonesia during period of 1996– 2006. But for the variable government acceptance of previous period, have an effect on don’t significant to government expenditure in Indonesia period 1996 – 2006.

Elasticity government expenditure to variable of government acceptance ratio with national earnings is inelastic with relations which are positive. While for variable of national earnings is elastic with relation which are positive. As for government acceptance variable of previous period elasticity is inelastic with relation which are positive.